OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-09-26
⚽ League One · Saturday 26 September 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Wycombe 1.40 2 - 2 2.00 Reading
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 49.3%40%+9.6%✗ miss
DCHome or away 76.1%79%-3.2%✗ miss
DNBHome (DNB) 61.9%53%+8.5%void
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 57.2%60%-2.9%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 57.4%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson44.8%24.5%30.6%
xgboost38.1%25.3%36.6%
logistic39.9%27.5%32.6%
Inputs the models saw
WycombeReading
Elo (pre-match)15091514
Surface Elo15091514
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.402.00
Form trend-0.90-0.10
Season points per game1.291.67
Season goals for / game1.572.33
Season goals against / game2.001.17
Rest days77
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W4 W · 2 D
Wycombe: last 5
19 SepAWigan1 - 0W
19 SepAWigan1 - 0W
12 SepALeyton Orient3 - 2W
05 SepHMilton Keynes Dons3 - 3D
01 SepHSheffield Weds1 - 2L
Reading: last 5
19 SepHNotts County2 - 0W
19 SepHNotts County2 - 0W
12 SepACambridge1 - 2L
05 SepHBlackpool3 - 1W
02 SepHMansfield5 - 0W
Head to head
14 Feb 2026Reading3 - 2Wycombe
23 Aug 2025Wycombe2 - 2Reading
05 Apr 2025Reading1 - 0Wycombe
07 Dec 2024Wycombe1 - 1Reading
09 Mar 2024Reading1 - 2Wycombe
25 Nov 2023Wycombe1 - 2Reading
23 Feb 2021Wycombe1 - 0Reading
20 Oct 2020Reading1 - 0Wycombe
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away2.4540.8%26 Sep 15:00
Bet3651X2draw3.6027.8%26 Sep 15:00
Bet3651X2home2.4540.8%26 Sep 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.6261.7%26 Sep 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.2544.4%26 Sep 15:00
SportyBet1X2away2.5539.2%26 Sep 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.7027.0%26 Sep 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.6038.5%26 Sep 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.6660.2%26 Sep 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.2045.5%26 Sep 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 20:28 UTC