| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 59.3% | 71% | -11.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 44.1% | 55.9% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 33.4% | 66.5% |
| logistic | 41.5% | 58.5% |
| Alexis Galarneau | Mees Rottgering | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1604 | 1614 |
| Surface Elo | 1604 | 1614 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 1.71 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.50 | 1.14 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 0.57 |
| Rest days | 26 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 30 Sep | A | Lloyd Harris | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | H | Lloyd Harris | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Sep | A | Fajing Sun | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Fajing Sun | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | H | Pavel Kotov | 1 - 2 | L |
| 23 Oct | H | Darwin Blanch | 0 - 1 | L |
| 21 Oct | H | Cosme Rolland De Ravel | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Max Hans Rehberg | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Darwin Blanch | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Cosme Rolland De Ravel | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Sep 2025 | Alexis Galarneau | 1 - 2 | Mees Rottgering |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.41 | 70.9% | 26 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.80 | 35.7% | 26 Oct 06:15 |