| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win selected | 70.6% | 60% | +11.1% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 28.4% | 71.6% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 22.7% | 77.3% |
| logistic | 39.6% | 60.4% |
| Federico Arnaboldi | Florian Broska | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1448 | 1574 |
| Surface Elo | 1448 | 1574 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 14 | 35 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 21 Sep | H | Marvin Moeller | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Florian Broska | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep | H | Juan Pablo Varillas | 1 - 2 | L |
| 31 Aug | H | Juan Pablo Varillas | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Aug | H | Federico Bondioli | 1 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Federico Arnaboldi | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Aug | H | Sean Cuenin | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Aug | H | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | 1 - 2 | L |
| 13 Jul | H | Jan Kumstat | 1 - 2 | L |
| 13 Jul | H | Petr Bar Biryukov | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Federico Arnaboldi | 2 - 0 | Florian Broska |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.68 | 59.5% | 21 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.10 | 47.6% | 21 Sep 06:15 |