| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 51.7% | 50% | +1.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 55.2% | 44.8% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 52.1% | 47.8% |
| logistic | 45.1% | 54.9% |
| Anastasia Zakharova | Lucrezia Stefanini | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1510 | 1532 |
| Surface Elo | 1510 | 1532 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.33 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.89 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.11 | 0.67 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 05 Nov | H | Vaishnavi Adkar | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Polina Iatcenko | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Magda Linette | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Nov | H | Lucrezia Stefanini | 1 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Vaishnavi Adkar | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Nov | A | Simona Waltert | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Rada Zolotareva | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Anastasia Zakharova | 0 - 1 | L |
| 03 Nov | H | Simona Waltert | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Rada Zolotareva | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov 2026 | Anastasia Zakharova | 1 - 0 | Lucrezia Stefanini |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.85 | 54.0% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.00 | 50.0% | 06 Nov 06:15 |