OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🏒 Ice hockey on 2026-10-03
🏒 NHL · Saturday 03 October 2026, 23:30 UTC · finished
New York Islanders 0.20 6 - 0 0.60 New Jersey Devils
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 50.1%57%-7.1%✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
poisson42.8%40.6%
xgboost59.8%39.5%
logistic38.5%61.5%
Inputs the models saw
New York IslandersNew Jersey Devils
Elo (pre-match)14491521
Surface Elo14491521
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.200.60
Form trend0.20-0.10
Season points per game0.001.00
Season goals for / game1.003.00
Season goals against / game2.002.00
Rest days32
Head-to-head (last 10)6 W1 W · 0 D
New York Islanders: last 5
30 SepAToronto Maple Leafs1 - 2L
14 AprHCarolina Hurricanes1 - 2L
12 AprHMontréal Canadiens1 - 4L
11 AprHOttawa Senators0 - 3L
09 AprHToronto Maple Leafs5 - 3W
New Jersey Devils: last 5
01 OctHPhiladelphia Flyers3 - 2W
14 AprABoston Bruins0 - 4L
12 AprHOttawa Senators4 - 3W
11 AprADetroit Red Wings5 - 3W
09 AprHPittsburgh Penguins2 - 5L
Head to head
06 Feb 2026New Jersey Devils1 - 3New York Islanders
07 Jan 2026New York Islanders9 - 0New Jersey Devils
24 Dec 2025New York Islanders2 - 1New Jersey Devils
11 Nov 2025New Jersey Devils2 - 3New York Islanders
13 Apr 2025New Jersey Devils0 - 1New York Islanders
10 Nov 2024New York Islanders3 - 4New Jersey Devils
25 Oct 2024New Jersey Devils3 - 4New York Islanders
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Pinnacle sharp1X2home2.2145.2%03 Oct 21:20
Pinnacle sharp1X2away1.7557.1%03 Oct 21:20
Generated 2026-10-30 19:23 UTC