OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge

Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-10-29

🎾 tennis_atp_vienna_open · Thursday 29 October 2026, 12:30 UTC · scheduled

Cameron Norrie 0.60 12:30 3.00 Daniil Medvedev

Our markets (latest run)

Market	Most likely	Model	Bookmaker	Edge	Result
1X2	Away win	69.0%	85%	-16.5%

Model breakdown (1X2)

Model	Home	Away
poisson	37.0%	35.2%
xgboost	26.3%	73.7%
logistic	26.5%	73.5%
markov	abstained: unknown match format (best_of=0)

Inputs the models saw

	Cameron Norrie	Daniil Medvedev
Elo (pre-match)	1853	2131
Surface Elo	1853	2131
Form, last 5 (PPG)	0.60	3.00
Form trend	-0.60	0.00
Season points per game	1.50	1.50
Season goals for / game	1.50	1.50
Season goals against / game	1.50	1.50
Rest days	1	1
Head-to-head (last 10)	1 W	4 W · 0 D

Cameron Norrie: last 5

27 Oct	H	Francisco Cerundolo	2 - 0	W
20 Oct	A	Benjamin Bonzi	1 - 2	L
08 Oct	H	Dalibor Svrcina	1 - 2	L
01 Oct	A	Alexander Zverev	0 - 2	L
16 Aug	A	Alexander Zverev	1 - 2	L

Daniil Medvedev: last 5

28 Oct	A	Daniel Merida	2 - 0	W
25 Oct	H	Nikoloz Basilashvili	2 - 1	W
25 Oct	H	Nikoloz Basilashvili	2 - 1	W
24 Oct	H	Alexander Bublik	1 - 0	W
24 Oct	A	Alexander Bublik	1 - 0	W

Head to head

26 May 2025	Cameron Norrie	3 - 2	Daniil Medvedev
05 May 2025	Cameron Norrie	0 - 2	Daniil Medvedev
18 Mar 2024	Cameron Norrie	0 - 2	Daniil Medvedev
01 Aug 2022	Cameron Norrie	0 - 2	Daniil Medvedev
07 Oct 2019	Cameron Norrie	0 - 2	Daniil Medvedev

Bookmaker lines

Book	Market	Outcome	Odds	Implied	As of
1xBet	h2h	Cameron Norrie	4.71	21.2%	29 Oct 06:01
1xBet	h2h	Daniil Medvedev	1.21	82.6%	29 Oct 06:01
888sport	h2h	Cameron Norrie	4.50	22.2%	29 Oct 06:01
888sport	h2h	Daniil Medvedev	1.20	83.3%	29 Oct 06:01
Betclic (FR)	h2h	Cameron Norrie	4.90	20.4%	29 Oct 06:01
Betclic (FR)	h2h	Daniil Medvedev	1.15	87.0%	29 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h	Cameron Norrie	5.40	18.5%	29 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h	Daniil Medvedev	1.22	82.0%	29 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h_lay	Cameron Norrie	5.50	18.2%	29 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h_lay	Daniil Medvedev	1.23	81.3%	29 Oct 06:01
BetOnline.ag	h2h	Cameron Norrie	5.10	19.6%	29 Oct 06:01
BetOnline.ag	h2h	Daniil Medvedev	1.17	85.5%	29 Oct 06:01
Betsson	h2h	Cameron Norrie	5.00	20.0%	29 Oct 06:01
Betsson	h2h	Daniil Medvedev	1.16	86.2%	29 Oct 06:01
Coolbet	h2h	Cameron Norrie	4.80	20.8%	29 Oct 06:01
Coolbet	h2h	Daniil Medvedev	1.19	84.0%	29 Oct 06:01
LeoVegas (SE)	h2h	Cameron Norrie	4.50	22.2%	29 Oct 06:01
LeoVegas (SE)	h2h	Daniil Medvedev	1.20	83.3%	29 Oct 06:01
Marathon Bet	h2h	Cameron Norrie	4.65	21.5%	29 Oct 06:01
Marathon Bet	h2h	Daniil Medvedev	1.19	84.0%	29 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h	Cameron Norrie	5.40	18.5%	29 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h	Daniil Medvedev	1.22	82.0%	29 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h_lay	Cameron Norrie	5.50	18.2%	29 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h_lay	Daniil Medvedev	1.23	81.3%	29 Oct 06:01
Nordic Bet	h2h	Cameron Norrie	5.00	20.0%	29 Oct 06:01
Nordic Bet	h2h	Daniil Medvedev	1.16	86.2%	29 Oct 06:01
Pinnacle sharp	h2h	Cameron Norrie	5.30	18.9%	29 Oct 06:01
Pinnacle sharp	h2h	Daniil Medvedev	1.19	84.0%	29 Oct 06:01
PMU (FR)	h2h	Cameron Norrie	4.20	23.8%	29 Oct 06:01
PMU (FR)	h2h	Daniil Medvedev	1.16	86.2%	29 Oct 06:01
SportyBet	1X2	away	1.17	85.5%	29 Oct 06:15
SportyBet	1X2	home	5.40	18.5%	29 Oct 06:15
Tipico	h2h	Cameron Norrie	5.00	20.0%	29 Oct 06:01
Tipico	h2h	Daniil Medvedev	1.13	88.5%	29 Oct 06:01
Unibet (FR)	h2h	Cameron Norrie	4.40	22.7%	29 Oct 06:01
Unibet (FR)	h2h	Daniil Medvedev	1.13	88.5%	29 Oct 06:01
Unibet (NL)	h2h	Cameron Norrie	4.50	22.2%	29 Oct 06:01
Unibet (NL)	h2h	Daniil Medvedev	1.20	83.3%	29 Oct 06:01
Unibet (SE)	h2h	Cameron Norrie	4.50	22.2%	29 Oct 06:01
Unibet (SE)	h2h	Daniil Medvedev	1.20	83.3%	29 Oct 06:01
William Hill	h2h	Cameron Norrie	4.50	22.2%	29 Oct 06:01
William Hill	h2h	Daniil Medvedev	1.20	83.3%	29 Oct 06:01
Winamax (DE)	h2h	Cameron Norrie	5.20	19.2%	29 Oct 06:01
Winamax (DE)	h2h	Daniil Medvedev	1.16	86.2%	29 Oct 06:01
Winamax (FR)	h2h	Cameron Norrie	4.90	20.4%	29 Oct 06:01
Winamax (FR)	h2h	Daniil Medvedev	1.15	87.0%	29 Oct 06:01

Generated 2026-10-30 15:04 UTC