| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 60.6% | 88% | -27.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 48.9% | 51.1% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 74.1% | 25.9% |
| logistic | 55.7% | 44.3% |
| Max Alcala Gurri | Eliakim Coulibaly | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1627 | 1581 |
| Surface Elo | 1627 | 1581 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 14 | 84 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 21 Sep | A | Jonas Forejtek | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Carlos Taberner | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Pol Martin Tiffon | 1 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Carlos Sanchez Jover | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Eliakim Coulibaly | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Max Alcala Gurri | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Matisse Bobichon | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Jun | A | Calvin Hemery | 0 - 1 | L |
| 29 Jun | A | Alexander Vasilev | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Jun | H | Pavel Lagutin | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Eliakim Coulibaly | 0 - 2 | Max Alcala Gurri |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 5.25 | 19.1% | 21 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.14 | 87.7% | 21 Sep 06:15 |