| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 68.7% | 70% | -1.2% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 55.8% | 44.2% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 80.0% | 19.9% |
| logistic | 58.9% | 41.1% |
| Marco Cecchinato | Pedro Vives Marcos | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1653 | 1515 |
| Surface Elo | 1653 | 1515 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 2.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.25 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 6 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | H | Pedro Vives Marcos | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | H | Olle Wallin | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Olle Wallin | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 Sep | H | Marco Trungelliti | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Sep | H | Marvin Moeller | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Sebastian Gima | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Max Wiskandt | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Marco Cecchinato | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | Radu David Turcanu | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | A | Buvaysar Gadamauri | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Marco Cecchinato | 0 - 2 | Pedro Vives Marcos |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.70 | 37.0% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.43 | 69.9% | 13 Oct 06:15 |