| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 54.4% | 44% | +10.4% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 40.5% | 59.5% |
| logistic | 50.2% | 49.8% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Jodie Burrage | Eva Vedder | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1487 | 1490 |
| Surface Elo | 1487 | 1490 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 2.40 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Rest days | 6 | 9 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 15 Oct | H | Leonard, M | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | A | Maloney, Eliz | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Sep | H | Mai Hontama | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Rebecca Sramkova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Jun | A | Caty McNally | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Francesca Curmi | 1 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | A | Lisa Pigato | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | H | Margaux Rouvroy | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Oct | A | Jorge, Francisca | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Oct | A | Harmony Tan | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.35 | 42.5% | 21 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.53 | 65.4% | 21 Oct 06:15 |