OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-24
⚽ League One · Saturday 24 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Reading 1.60 2 - 1 0.20 Barnsley
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 52.6%64%-11.7%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 79.2%87%-7.9%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 70.0%82%-11.7%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 59.8%69%-9.4%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 55.1%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson54.9%21.2%23.9%
xgboost52.9%26.8%20.4%
logistic49.6%28.0%22.4%
Inputs the models saw
ReadingBarnsley
Elo (pre-match)15271421
Surface Elo15271421
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.600.20
Form trend-0.300.10
Season points per game1.640.80
Season goals for / game2.091.00
Season goals against / game1.091.90
Rest days23
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W3 W · 5 D
Reading: last 5
21 OctHLeyton Orient1 - 0W
21 OctHLeyton Orient1 - 0W
17 OctAWigan0 - 1L
17 OctAWigan0 - 1L
13 OctHChelsea0 - 2L
Barnsley: last 5
20 OctALuton1 - 2L
20 OctALuton1 - 2L
17 OctHCambridge1 - 2L
17 OctHCambridge1 - 2L
10 OctAStockport1 - 3L
Head to head
24 Jan 2026Reading2 - 2Barnsley
13 Sep 2025Barnsley3 - 2Reading
03 May 2025Reading2 - 4Barnsley
26 Nov 2024Barnsley2 - 2Reading
13 Apr 2024Barnsley2 - 2Reading
09 Dec 2023Reading1 - 3Barnsley
02 Apr 2022Barnsley1 - 1Reading
16 Oct 2021Reading1 - 0Barnsley
02 Apr 2021Barnsley1 - 1Reading
19 Sep 2020Reading2 - 0Barnsley
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away5.0020.0%24 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2draw4.3323.1%24 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2home1.5365.4%24 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.4071.4%24 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.8834.7%24 Oct 15:00
SportyBet1X2away5.0020.0%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw4.6021.7%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.5863.3%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.4569.0%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.7037.0%24 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 18:18 UTC