| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 63.0% | 67% | -3.7% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 32.9% | 67.1% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 57.6% | 42.3% |
| logistic | 26.3% | 73.7% |
| Lorenzo Carboni | Javier Barranco Cosano | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1345 | 1568 |
| Surface Elo | 1345 | 1568 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 7 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 24 Sep | A | Daniel Michalski | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Aug | H | Pedro Martinez | 0 - 1 | L |
| 10 Aug | A | Daniel Michalski | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Aug | H | Petr Brunclik | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Jun | H | Roberto Carballes Baena | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Oriol Font | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | Ruffino, Elia | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Aug | H | Radu Mihai Papoe | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Aug | H | Martin Krumich | 2 - 1 | W |
| 09 Mar | A | Abdullah Shelbayh | 0 - 1 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.50 | 66.7% | 01 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.42 | 41.3% | 01 Oct 06:15 |