| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win selected | 65.3% | 59% | +6.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 35.5% | 64.5% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 39.4% | 60.5% |
| logistic | 39.9% | 60.1% |
| Aziz Ouakaa | Pietro Fellin | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1342 | 1455 |
| Surface Elo | 1342 | 1455 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 44 | 30 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 10 Aug | H | Jie Cui | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Jul | H | Ilya Ivashka | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Jul | H | Juan Pablo Ficovich | 2 - 1 | W |
| 11 May | H | Bernard Tomic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 09 Mar | H | Jonas Forejtek | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | A | Miguel Tobon | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Jul | A | Francesco Passaro | 0 - 1 | L |
| 25 May | H | Pol Martin Tiffon | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Apr | A | Dino Prizmic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Mar | A | Lorenzo Giustino | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.69 | 59.2% | 23 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.05 | 48.8% | 23 Sep 06:15 |