| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 76.9% | 68% | +9.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 68.9% | 31.0% |
| logistic | 76.4% | 23.6% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Yuki Naito | Mei Yamaguchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1519 | 1420 |
| Surface Elo | 1519 | 1420 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.75 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.25 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.83 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 6 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 03 Nov | H | Sara Saito | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Oct | H | Caroline Dolehide | 1 - 2 | L |
| 29 Oct | A | Madison Brengle | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Oct | H | Lutkemeyer Obregon, A | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Oct | A | Reese Brantmeier | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Nov | H | Zhibek Kulambayeva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Nov | H | Zhibek Kulambayeva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Nov | H | Zhibek Kulambayeva | 1 - 2 | L |
| 31 Oct | H | Desai, Zeel | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Oct | A | Harriet Dart | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.45 | 40.8% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.48 | 67.6% | 10 Nov 06:15 |