| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win selected | 66.0% | 60% | +6.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 64.5% | 35.5% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 58.9% | 41.1% |
| logistic | 63.3% | 36.7% |
| Dylan Dietrich | Henry Searle | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1598 | 1477 |
| Surface Elo | 1598 | 1477 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 1.33 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 23 Sep | A | Keegan Smith | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Dinko Dinev | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Nishesh Basavareddy | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Maxim Zhukov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Keegan Smith | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Sep | H | Liam Draxl | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Sep | A | Evan Zhu | 2 - 1 | W |
| 15 Sep | A | Timo Legout | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Jun | A | Ethan Quinn | 1 - 3 | L |
| 18 Nov | H | Strong Kirchheimer | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.15 | 46.5% | 25 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.67 | 59.9% | 25 Sep 06:15 |