| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 43.6% | 23% | +20.3% | |
| DC | Home or away | 73.6% | 80% | -6.4% | |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 56.8% | 31% | +25.9% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.0% | 50% | +9.9% | |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 57.1% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.8% | 30.3% | 31.9% |
| xgboost | 36.1% | 28.6% | 35.3% |
| logistic | 44.2% | 27.4% | 28.3% |
| Stenhousemuir | Livingston | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1619 | 1524 |
| Surface Elo | 1619 | 1524 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | -0.10 |
| Season points per game | 1.17 | 1.33 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.50 | 1.17 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.17 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 2 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 27 Oct | H | Dunfermline | 0 - 1 | L |
| 27 Oct | H | Dunfermline | 0 - 1 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Partick | 0 - 3 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Partick | 0 - 3 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Raith Rovers FC | 1 - 1 | D |
| 24 Oct | H | Arbroath | 1 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Arbroath | 1 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Dunfermline | 0 - 0 | D |
| 17 Oct | A | Dunfermline | 0 - 0 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | Partick | 1 - 2 | L |
| 04 Sep 2026 | Livingston | 0 - 1 | Stenhousemuir |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.72 | 58.1% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.90 | 25.6% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 4.50 | 22.2% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.80 | 55.6% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.99 | 50.2% | 30 Oct 06:15 |