| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 52.8% | 67% | -13.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 54.8% | 45.2% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 47.0% | 53.0% |
| logistic | 39.3% | 60.7% |
| Maria Lourdes Carle | Julia Grabher | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1416 | 1518 |
| Surface Elo | 1416 | 1518 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 2.33 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 1.56 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.33 | 0.89 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 27 Oct | H | Laura Pigossi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Kristina Liutova | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | A | Lucciana Perez Alarcon | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | A | Valeriya Strakhova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Sep | A | Nuria Brancaccio | 1 - 2 | L |
| 27 Oct | A | Carolina Alves | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Oct | H | Geerlings Martinez, Ariana | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Deborah Chiesa | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Dalma Galfi | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | A | Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.50 | 66.7% | 29 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.50 | 40.0% | 29 Oct 06:15 |