| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 56.1% | 58% | -2.3% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 50.9% | 33.6% |
| xgboost | 51.8% | 47.5% |
| logistic | 56.6% | 43.4% |
| Carolina Hurricanes | Washington Capitals | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1734 | 1574 |
| Surface Elo | 1734 | 1574 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 0.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| Rest days | 3 | 171 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 6 W | 4 W · 0 D |
| 29 Sep | H | Florida Panthers | 0 - 1 | L |
| 15 Jun | A | Vegas Golden Knights | 3 - 0 | W |
| 12 Jun | H | Vegas Golden Knights | 4 - 2 | W |
| 10 Jun | A | Vegas Golden Knights | 5 - 3 | W |
| 07 Jun | A | Vegas Golden Knights | 4 - 5 | L |
| 14 Apr | A | Columbus Blue Jackets | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Apr | H | Pittsburgh Penguins | 3 - 0 | W |
| 11 Apr | A | Pittsburgh Penguins | 6 - 3 | W |
| 08 Apr | A | Toronto Maple Leafs | 4 - 0 | W |
| 05 Apr | A | New York Rangers | 1 - 8 | L |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Washington Capitals | 4 - 3 | Carolina Hurricanes |
| 12 Dec 2025 | Washington Capitals | 2 - 3 | Carolina Hurricanes |
| 12 Nov 2025 | Carolina Hurricanes | 1 - 4 | Washington Capitals |
| 15 May 2025 | Washington Capitals | 1 - 3 | Carolina Hurricanes |
| 12 May 2025 | Carolina Hurricanes | 5 - 2 | Washington Capitals |
| 10 May 2025 | Carolina Hurricanes | 4 - 0 | Washington Capitals |
| 08 May 2025 | Washington Capitals | 3 - 1 | Carolina Hurricanes |
| 06 May 2025 | Washington Capitals | 1 - 2 | Carolina Hurricanes |
| 10 Apr 2025 | Washington Capitals | 5 - 4 | Carolina Hurricanes |
| 02 Apr 2025 | Carolina Hurricanes | 5 - 1 | Washington Capitals |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 1.71 | 58.5% | 02 Oct 19:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 2.27 | 44.1% | 02 Oct 19:20 |