| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 68.8% | 77% | -8.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 70.6% | 29.4% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 67.9% | 32.0% |
| logistic | 69.5% | 30.5% |
| Facundo Diaz Acosta | Marco Cecchinato | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1739 | 1663 |
| Surface Elo | 1739 | 1663 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.67 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.25 | 1.22 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 05 Nov | H | Filip Misolic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | H | Thiago Seyboth Wild | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Marco Cecchinato | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | H | Filip Misolic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Nov | A | Thiago Monteiro | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Francisco Comesana | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Facundo Diaz Acosta | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Thiago Monteiro | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Francisco Comesana | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Nov 2026 | Facundo Diaz Acosta | 2 - 0 | Marco Cecchinato |
| 29 Jun 2026 | Facundo Diaz Acosta | 2 - 1 | Marco Cecchinato |
| 10 Nov 2025 | Facundo Diaz Acosta | 0 - 2 | Marco Cecchinato |
| 17 Oct 2022 | Facundo Diaz Acosta | 2 - 0 | Marco Cecchinato |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.30 | 30.3% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.30 | 76.9% | 06 Nov 06:15 |