OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-11-08
⚽ Germany Bundesliga · Sunday 08 November 2026, 14:30 UTC · finished
FC Koln 1.00 1 - 2 1.80 Bayer Leverkusen
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 51.5%54%-2.5%✓ hit
DCHome or away 76.5%79%-2.9%✓ hit
DNBAway (DNB) 66.2%70%-4.0%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 52.7%70%-17.7%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 54.7%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson23.6%22.8%53.7%
xgboost30.5%23.2%46.3%
logistic22.8%25.5%51.8%
Inputs the models saw
FC KolnBayer Leverkusen
Elo (pre-match)15161716
Surface Elo15161716
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.001.80
Form trend0.000.90
Season points per game1.251.50
Season goals for / game0.752.00
Season goals against / game0.752.75
Rest days78
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W7 W · 1 D
FC Koln: last 5
07 NovASV Waldhof Mannheim 071 - 2L
06 NovH1. FC Saarbrucken5 - 3W
01 NovAUnion Berlin1 - 1D
01 NovAUnion Berlin1 - 1D
31 OctHWurzburger Kickers1 - 2L
Bayer Leverkusen: last 5
05 NovHMarseille0 - 1L
31 OctHStuttgart2 - 4L
31 OctHStuttgart2 - 4L
28 OctH1 FC Nuremberg5 - 2W
25 OctAHoffenheim0 - 3L
Head to head
25 Apr 2026FC Koln1 - 2Bayer Leverkusen
13 Dec 2025Bayer Leverkusen2 - 0FC Koln
03 Mar 2024FC Koln0 - 2Bayer Leverkusen
08 Oct 2023Bayer Leverkusen3 - 0FC Koln
05 May 2023Bayer Leverkusen1 - 2FC Koln
09 Nov 2022FC Koln1 - 2Bayer Leverkusen
13 Mar 2022Bayer Leverkusen0 - 1FC Koln
24 Oct 2021FC Koln2 - 2Bayer Leverkusen
17 Apr 2021Bayer Leverkusen3 - 0FC Koln
16 Dec 2020FC Koln0 - 4Bayer Leverkusen
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away1.8554.0%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw4.2223.7%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2home3.9525.3%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.4270.4%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.9034.5%06 Nov 06:15
Generated 2026-11-12 22:03 UTC