| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 62.8% | 73% | -10.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 49.5% | 50.5% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 81.1% | 18.9% |
| logistic | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| Clara Burel | Leyre Romero Gormaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1639 | 1512 |
| Surface Elo | 1639 | 1512 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.13 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 17 Oct | A | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Oct | H | Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | A | Lollia, Mathilde | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Lina Gjorcheska | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | Alicia Herrero Linana | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Dalma Galfi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Oct | H | Fiona Ferro | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Rame, Alice | 2 - 1 | W |
| 23 Sep | A | Jessica Pieri | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Polona Hercog | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.95 | 33.9% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.37 | 73.0% | 18 Oct 06:15 |