| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 64.1% | 84% | -19.9% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 53.0% | 47.0% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 83.4% | 16.6% |
| logistic | 61.0% | 39.0% |
| Nishesh Basavareddy | Aziz Dougaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1695 | 1574 |
| Surface Elo | 1695 | 1574 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 17 Oct | H | Edas Butvilas | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Kimmer Coppejans | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | Igor Marcondes | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | Dylan Dietrich | 2 - 1 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | Andres Andrade | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Tom Gentzsch | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Damir Dzumhur | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Damir Dzumhur | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Aug | H | Hayato Matsuoka | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Aug | H | Sergey Fomin | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 5.10 | 19.6% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.19 | 84.0% | 18 Oct 06:15 |