| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 52.9% | 58% | -5.5% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 78.7% | 82% | -3.1% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 70.0% | 76% | -5.6% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.8% | 68% | -2.6% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 65.5% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 52.6% | 26.6% | 20.8% |
| xgboost | 51.1% | 22.2% | 26.8% |
| logistic | 53.4% | 26.2% | 20.3% |
| Frosinone | Lecce | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1679 | 1578 |
| Surface Elo | 1679 | 1578 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.33 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.67 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.00 | 1.33 |
| Rest days | 4 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 3 W · 3 D |
| 25 Oct | A | Atalanta | 4 - 4 | D |
| 25 Oct | A | Atalanta | 4 - 4 | D |
| 16 Oct | H | Sassuolo | 4 - 2 | W |
| 16 Oct | H | Sassuolo | 4 - 2 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Napoli | 0 - 3 | L |
| 25 Oct | H | Juventus | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Oct | H | Juventus | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 Oct | A | Udinese | 3 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Udinese | 3 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Bologna | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Mar 2024 | Frosinone | 1 - 1 | Lecce |
| 16 Dec 2023 | Lecce | 2 - 1 | Frosinone |
| 02 Apr 2022 | Lecce | 1 - 0 | Frosinone |
| 20 Nov 2021 | Frosinone | 0 - 0 | Lecce |
| 20 Mar 2021 | Frosinone | 0 - 3 | Lecce |
| 12 Dec 2020 | Lecce | 2 - 2 | Frosinone |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.72 | 21.2% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.29 | 23.3% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.71 | 58.5% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.46 | 68.5% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.75 | 36.4% | 27 Oct 06:15 |