| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 50.7% | 33% | +17.3% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 62.4% | 37.6% |
| logistic | 35.9% | 64.1% |
| Ozan Baris | Hunter Heck | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1458 | 1566 |
| Surface Elo | 1458 | 1566 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.75 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.75 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.75 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 5 | 37 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 20 Oct | A | Cosme Rolland De Ravel | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Cosme Rolland De Ravel | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Braden Shick | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Braden Shick | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Sep | H | Igor Marcondes | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 Sep | A | Matthew Dellavedova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Sep | H | Luka Pavlovic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Ilia Simakin | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Matthew Dellavedova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Luka Pavlovic | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.00 | 33.3% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.36 | 73.5% | 25 Oct 06:15 |