| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win selected | 67.9% | 59% | +8.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 78.6% | 21.4% |
| logistic | 54.3% | 45.7% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Izan Almazan Valiente | Geoffrey Blancaneaux | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1495 | 1452 |
| Surface Elo | 1495 | 1452 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.67 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 8 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 21 Sep | H | George Lazarov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Adrian Andreev | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Maxim Mrva | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Geoffrey Blancaneaux | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | Stefan Popovic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Izan Almazan Valiente | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | A | Alejandro Moro Canas | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Aug | A | Benjamin Hassan | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Aug | H | Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Aug | H | Juan Estevez | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Geoffrey Blancaneaux | 0 - 2 | Izan Almazan Valiente |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.10 | 47.6% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.69 | 59.2% | 22 Sep 06:15 |