| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 48.2% | 30% | +18.1% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 74.4% | 83% | -8.6% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 61.4% | 40% | +21.5% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.0% | 65% | -2.6% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 60.5% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 33.3% | 26.8% | 39.8% |
| xgboost | 28.3% | 32.3% | 39.5% |
| logistic | 35.7% | 27.3% | 37.0% |
| Pescara | Ascoli | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1371 | 1460 |
| Surface Elo | 1371 | 1460 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| Form trend | -0.10 | 0.10 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 154 | 20 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 3 W · 2 D |
| 03 Oct | A | Livorno | 1 - 0 | W |
| 27 Sep | H | Spezia | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Sep | A | Vado FC | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | SS Monopoli | 2 - 2 | D |
| 08 May | H | Spezia | 1 - 1 | D |
| 20 Sep | H | SC Trestina | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Avellino | 3 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Avellino | 3 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Napoli | 2 - 2 | D |
| 12 Sep | A | Padova | 0 - 1 | L |
| 16 Mar 2021 | Pescara | 2 - 3 | Ascoli |
| 04 Dec 2020 | Ascoli | 0 - 2 | Pescara |
| 01 Mar 2020 | Pescara | 2 - 1 | Ascoli |
| 06 Oct 2019 | Ascoli | 0 - 2 | Pescara |
| 07 Apr 2019 | Ascoli | 2 - 1 | Pescara |
| 25 Nov 2018 | Pescara | 1 - 1 | Ascoli |
| 12 May 2018 | Pescara | 0 - 1 | Ascoli |
| 21 Dec 2017 | Ascoli | 1 - 1 | Pescara |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.33 | 30.0% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.70 | 27.0% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.89 | 52.9% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.55 | 64.5% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.25 | 44.4% | 10 Oct 06:15 |