OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge

Back to 🏈 NFL on 2026-11-01

NFL · Sunday 01 November 2026, 18:00 UTC · scheduled

Jacksonville Jaguars – 18:00 – Indianapolis Colts

NFL forecast: home/away probabilities are conditional on no tie. Full-game moneylines include overtime; ties refund. Pick publication is disabled pending validation.

Our markets (latest run)

Market	Most likely	Model	Bookmaker	Edge	Result
1X2	Home win	77.2%	83%	-5.5%

Model breakdown (1X2)

Model	Home	Away
ensemble	77.2%	22.8%

Inputs the models saw

	Jacksonville Jaguars	Indianapolis Colts
playoff	0.00
elo diff	0.24
form diff	0.38
rest diff	0.99
home field	1.00
point diff	1.03
opponent strength diff	-0.00
Information cutoff (UTC)	2026-10-30T14:22:17.842680+00:00

Jacksonville Jaguars: last 5

18 Oct	H	Houston Texans	31 - 34	L
11 Oct	H	Philadelphia Eagles	19 - 17	W
04 Oct	A	Cincinnati Bengals	22 - 17	W
27 Sep	H	New England Patriots	35 - 6	W
20 Sep	A	Denver Broncos	13 - 20	L

Indianapolis Colts: last 5

25 Oct	A	Minnesota Vikings	10 - 16	L
18 Oct	H	Tennessee Titans	20 - 26	L
11 Oct	A	Pittsburgh Steelers	22 - 34	L
04 Oct	A	Washington Commanders	30 - 13	W
27 Sep	H	Houston Texans	19 - 17	W

Head to head

28 Dec 2025	Indianapolis Colts	17 - 23	Jacksonville Jaguars
07 Dec 2025	Jacksonville Jaguars	36 - 19	Indianapolis Colts
05 Jan 2025	Indianapolis Colts	26 - 23	Jacksonville Jaguars
06 Oct 2024	Jacksonville Jaguars	37 - 34	Indianapolis Colts
15 Oct 2023	Jacksonville Jaguars	37 - 20	Indianapolis Colts
10 Sep 2023	Indianapolis Colts	21 - 31	Jacksonville Jaguars
16 Oct 2022	Indianapolis Colts	34 - 27	Jacksonville Jaguars
18 Sep 2022	Jacksonville Jaguars	24 - 0	Indianapolis Colts
09 Jan 2022	Jacksonville Jaguars	26 - 11	Indianapolis Colts
14 Nov 2021	Indianapolis Colts	23 - 17	Jacksonville Jaguars

Bookmaker lines

Book	Market	Outcome	Odds	Implied	As of
Pinnacle sharp	1X2	home	1.21	82.6%	30 Oct 12:20
Pinnacle sharp	1X2	away	4.69	21.3%	30 Oct 12:20

Generated 2026-10-30 15:01 UTC