| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 54.0% | 60% | -5.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 53.3% | 31.4% |
| xgboost | 69.4% | 28.8% |
| logistic | 49.4% | 50.6% |
| Detroit Red Wings | San Jose Sharks | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1391 | 1476 |
| Surface Elo | 1391 | 1476 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.10 |
| Season points per game | 0.29 | 0.57 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.29 | 2.71 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.00 | 3.57 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 15 Oct | H | Philadelphia Flyers | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | New Jersey Devils | 4 - 5 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Montréal Canadiens | 0 - 1 | L |
| 09 Oct | H | Seattle Kraken | 3 - 6 | L |
| 06 Oct | H | Ottawa Senators | 5 - 3 | W |
| 16 Oct | A | Nashville Predators | 3 - 2 | W |
| 14 Oct | H | Boston Bruins | 3 - 6 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Edmonton Oilers | 1 - 3 | L |
| 09 Oct | A | St. Louis Blues | 3 - 2 | W |
| 06 Oct | A | Dallas Stars | 0 - 5 | L |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Detroit Red Wings | 4 - 2 | San Jose Sharks |
| 03 Nov 2025 | San Jose Sharks | 2 - 3 | Detroit Red Wings |
| 15 Jan 2025 | Detroit Red Wings | 3 - 6 | San Jose Sharks |
| 19 Nov 2024 | San Jose Sharks | 5 - 4 | Detroit Red Wings |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 1.67 | 59.9% | 17 Oct 18:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 2.35 | 42.6% | 17 Oct 18:20 |