| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 58.7% | 68% | -9.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 39.2% | 60.7% |
| logistic | 40.9% | 59.1% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Lorenzo Claverie | Alvarez Valdes, Luis Carlos | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1485 | 1536 |
| Surface Elo | 1485 | 1536 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 1.44 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.67 | 0.78 |
| Rest days | 3 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 07 Nov | A | Blu Baker | 2 - 1 | W |
| 06 Nov | A | Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 Nov | A | Carlo Arena Fava | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Oct | H | Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Oct | A | Ryan Nijboer | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Nov | H | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Nov | H | Maxwell Mckennon | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | A | Rodrigo Alujas | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | H | Adrian Oetzbach | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | A | De Marchi, Andrea | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.47 | 68.0% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.50 | 40.0% | 07 Nov 06:15 |