OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-09-25
⚽ Scotland Championship · Friday 25 September 2026, 18:45 UTC · finished
Arbroath 1.40 2 - 1 0.80 Queens Park
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 52.0%54%-1.7%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 77.7%82%-4.6%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 69.8%74%-3.9%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 44.9%62%-16.7%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS no 50.1%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson45.9%27.9%26.2%
xgboost45.7%34.0%20.4%
logistic50.9%25.2%23.9%
Inputs the models saw
ArbroathQueens Park
Elo (pre-match)15351448
Surface Elo15351448
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.400.80
Form trend0.900.10
Season points per game0.001.50
Season goals for / game0.001.50
Season goals against / game1.001.50
Rest days66
Head-to-head (last 10)4 W6 W · 0 D
Arbroath: last 5
19 SepAStenhousemuir0 - 1L
19 SepAStenhousemuir0 - 1L
12 SepARaith Rvs0 - 4L
05 SepHDunfermline1 - 1D
29 AugHLivingston1 - 0W
Queens Park: last 5
18 SepHAyr0 - 2L
12 SepADunfermline0 - 2L
05 SepHMorton2 - 1W
29 AugAPartick0 - 0D
22 AugHStenhousemuir0 - 2L
Head to head
21 Mar 2026Arbroath1 - 0Queens Park
31 Jan 2026Queens Park2 - 1Arbroath
11 Oct 2025Arbroath4 - 1Queens Park
09 Aug 2025Queens Park1 - 3Arbroath
27 Apr 2024Arbroath0 - 5Queens Park
27 Feb 2024Queens Park6 - 0Arbroath
19 Aug 2023Arbroath0 - 1Queens Park
12 Aug 2023Queens Park2 - 1Arbroath
24 Mar 2023Queens Park0 - 1Arbroath
23 Dec 2022Arbroath1 - 4Queens Park
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away4.2523.5%25 Sep 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.5028.6%25 Sep 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.8653.8%25 Sep 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over2.2544.4%25 Sep 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.6361.4%25 Sep 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 19:28 UTC