| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 55.7% | 45% | +10.3% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 52.2% | 47.8% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 50.7% | 49.2% |
| logistic | 56.8% | 43.2% |
| Massimo Giunta | Henry Searle | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1558 | 1487 |
| Surface Elo | 1558 | 1487 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.80 | 1.67 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.40 | 1.22 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.93 | 1.11 |
| Rest days | 1 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 1 W 路 0 D |
| 11 Nov | A | Felix Gill | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Nov | H | Francesco Forti | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Adrian Andreev | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Nov | H | Belozertsev, Nikita | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Henry Searle | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 Nov | A | Robin Bertrand | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Nov | A | Ryan Peniston | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Oct | H | Mae Malige | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | H | Matthew William Donald | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Massimo Giunta | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct 2026 | Henry Searle | 2 - 0 | Massimo Giunta |
| 13 Oct 2026 | Massimo Giunta | 2 - 1 | Henry Searle |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.61 | 62.1% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.20 | 45.5% | 12 Nov 06:15 |