| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 64.0% | 63% | +1.1% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 58.4% | 41.6% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 71.0% | 28.9% |
| logistic | 67.6% | 32.4% |
| Francisco Cerundolo | Tallon Griekspoor | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1956 | 1788 |
| Surface Elo | 1956 | 1788 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 2.14 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.57 | 1.17 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.71 | 1.33 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 24 Oct | H | Tallon Griekspoor | 1 - 2 | L |
| 23 Oct | A | Clement Chidekh | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | A | Clement Chidekh | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | Damm Jr, Martin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | H | Martin Damm | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Francisco Cerundolo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 23 Oct | H | Jiri Lehecka | 2 - 1 | W |
| 23 Oct | A | Jiri Lehecka | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | Mariano Navone | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | Mariano Navone | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct 2026 | Francisco Cerundolo | 1 - 2 | Tallon Griekspoor |
| 21 Mar 2022 | Francisco Cerundolo | 2 - 1 | Tallon Griekspoor |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.45 | 40.8% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.59 | 62.9% | 24 Oct 06:15 |