| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 69.6% | 68% | +2.0% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 28.2% | 71.8% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 34.7% | 65.2% |
| logistic | 38.0% | 62.0% |
| Oscar Jose Gutierrez | Joao Eduardo Schiessl | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1332 | 1474 |
| Surface Elo | 1332 | 1474 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.80 | 2.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.20 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.75 |
| Rest days | 1 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 15 Oct | H | Valentin Basel | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Federico Gaston Gonzalez Benitez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct | H | Yanaki Milev | 1 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | A | Pedro Rodenas | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | A | Ivan Gakhov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Oct | A | Guilherme Barbieri Renner | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Dante Pagani | 2 - 1 | W |
| 06 Oct | A | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Alan Magadan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.48 | 67.6% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.45 | 40.8% | 16 Oct 06:15 |