| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 70.2% | 69% | +1.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 61.1% | 38.8% |
| logistic | 71.1% | 28.9% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Tatjana Maria | Luisina Giovannini | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1633 | 1552 |
| Surface Elo | 1633 | 1552 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 7 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 01 Nov | H | Bianca Andreescu | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Nov | H | Fiona Ferro | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Oct | H | Valeriya Strakhova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Oct | H | Colmegna, Martina | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Oct | H | Garibay Romero, Carlota | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Nov | H | Bianca Andreescu | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Nov | A | Irene Burillo Escorihuela | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Maria Camila Torres Murcia | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Oct | A | Nauhany Vitoria Leme Da Silva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Oct | H | Lucia Bronzetti | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.60 | 38.5% | 09 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.45 | 69.0% | 09 Nov 06:15 |