| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 58.6% | 58% | +0.4% | abandoned |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 42.7% | 57.2% |
| logistic | 38.9% | 61.1% |
| Pierluigi Basile | Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1481 | 1603 |
| Surface Elo | 1481 | 1603 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 36 | 8 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W 路 0 D |
| 14 Sep | A | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Aug | A | Maxim Mrva | 1 - 2 | L |
| 29 Jun | A | Marco Cecchinato | 0 - 1 | L |
| 29 Jun | A | Elmer Moller | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Jun | A | Oriol Roca Batalla | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Sep | H | Mika Brunold | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | A | Alex Barrena | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep | H | Lukas Neumayer | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep | H | Thiago Monteiro | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep | A | Alex Molcan | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.72 | 58.1% | 15 Sep 09:05 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.05 | 48.8% | 15 Sep 09:05 |