| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 74.5% | 75% | -0.7% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 13.8% | 86.1% |
| logistic | 37.2% | 62.8% |
| markov | abstained: unknown match format (best_of=0) | |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | Stefanos Tsitsipas | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1763 | 1903 |
| Surface Elo | 1763 | 1903 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 5 | 24 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 2 W 路 0 D |
| 01 Oct | A | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 1 - 2 | L |
| 25 Sep | A | Kyrian Jacquet | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Sep | A | Kyrian Jacquet | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Sep | A | Alex Michelsen | 0 - 3 | L |
| 01 Oct | H | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 2 - 1 | W |
| 06 Sep | A | Ben Shelton | 0 - 3 | L |
| 04 Sep | A | Jiri Lehecka | 3 - 1 | W |
| 02 Sep | A | Lloyd Harris | 3 - 1 | W |
| 01 Oct 2026 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 2 - 1 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry |
| 30 Sep 2026 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 1 - 2 | Stefanos Tsitsipas |
| 26 May 2025 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 3 - 0 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry |
| 08 Apr 2024 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 2 - 0 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport | h2h | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 1.33 | 75.2% | 30 Sep 06:00 |
| 888sport | h2h | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 3.30 | 30.3% | 30 Sep 06:00 |
| BetAnything | h2h | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 1.36 | 73.5% | 30 Sep 06:00 |
| BetAnything | h2h | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 3.30 | 30.3% | 30 Sep 06:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | h2h | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 1.32 | 75.8% | 30 Sep 06:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | h2h | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 3.30 | 30.3% | 30 Sep 06:00 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 1.03 | 97.1% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 17.00 | 5.9% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h_lay | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 1.07 | 93.5% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h_lay | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 28.00 | 3.6% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | h2h | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 1.36 | 73.5% | 30 Sep 06:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | h2h | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 3.25 | 30.8% | 30 Sep 06:00 |
| Coolbet | h2h | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 1.33 | 75.2% | 30 Sep 06:00 |
| Coolbet | h2h | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 3.35 | 29.8% | 30 Sep 06:00 |
| GTbets | h2h | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 1.33 | 75.2% | 30 Sep 06:00 |
| GTbets | h2h | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 3.38 | 29.6% | 30 Sep 06:00 |
| Matchbook | h2h | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 1.02 | 98.0% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Matchbook | h2h | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 17.00 | 5.9% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Matchbook | h2h_lay | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 1.05 | 95.2% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Matchbook | h2h_lay | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 36.00 | 2.8% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Nordic Bet | h2h | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 1.32 | 75.8% | 30 Sep 06:00 |
| Nordic Bet | h2h | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 3.30 | 30.3% | 30 Sep 06:00 |
| Pinnacle sharp | h2h | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 1.02 | 98.0% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Pinnacle sharp | h2h | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 48.90 | 2.0% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| PMU (FR) | h2h | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 1.30 | 76.9% | 30 Sep 06:00 |
| PMU (FR) | h2h | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 3.05 | 32.8% | 30 Sep 06:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.33 | 75.2% | 30 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.50 | 28.6% | 30 Sep 06:15 |
| Tipico | h2h | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 1.27 | 78.7% | 30 Sep 06:00 |
| Tipico | h2h | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 3.40 | 29.4% | 30 Sep 06:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | h2h | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 1.28 | 78.1% | 30 Sep 06:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | h2h | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 3.00 | 33.3% | 30 Sep 06:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | h2h | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 1.35 | 74.1% | 30 Sep 06:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | h2h | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 3.20 | 31.2% | 30 Sep 06:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | h2h | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 1.35 | 74.1% | 30 Sep 06:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | h2h | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 3.20 | 31.2% | 30 Sep 06:00 |
| William Hill | h2h | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 1.33 | 75.2% | 30 Sep 06:00 |
| William Hill | h2h | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 3.30 | 30.3% | 30 Sep 06:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | h2h | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 1.34 | 74.6% | 30 Sep 06:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | h2h | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 3.45 | 29.0% | 30 Sep 06:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | h2h | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 1.32 | 75.8% | 30 Sep 06:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | h2h | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 3.25 | 30.8% | 30 Sep 06:00 |