OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-02
⚽ International Clubs Club Friendly Games · Friday 02 October 2026, 17:00 UTC · finished
Sociedad 2.00 0 - 1 1.60 Athletic Club
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 43.9%39%+4.6%✓ hit
DCHome or away 72.0%80%-8.1%✓ hit
DNBAway (DNB) 57.9%54%+3.6%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 53.6%56%-2.9%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 55.9%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson39.2%27.8%33.0%
xgboost34.9%31.8%33.3%
logistic29.7%28.4%41.9%
Inputs the models saw
SociedadAthletic Club
Elo (pre-match)16191609
Surface Elo16191609
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.001.60
Form trend0.100.00
Season points per game1.501.50
Season goals for / game1.501.50
Season goals against / game1.501.50
Rest days1113
Head-to-head (last 10)3 W4 W · 3 D
Sociedad: last 5
27 SepHReal Union de Irun3 - 3D
26 SepACeuta1 - 3L
20 SepAValencia3 - 2W
19 SepAPasaia KE2 - 3L
19 SepHMallorca0 - 1L
Athletic Club: last 5
26 SepAArenas Club Getxo3 - 0W
20 SepHRC Deportivo Fabril2 - 2D
19 SepHAlaves0 - 0D
12 SepHElche1 - 1D
05 SepHAtlético Madrid3 - 0W
Head to head
01 Feb 2026Athletic Club1 - 1Sociedad
01 Nov 2025Sociedad3 - 2Athletic Club
04 May 2025Sociedad0 - 0Athletic Club
24 Nov 2024Athletic Club1 - 0Sociedad
13 Jan 2024Athletic Club2 - 1Sociedad
30 Sep 2023Sociedad3 - 0Athletic Club
15 Apr 2023Athletic Club2 - 0Sociedad
14 Jan 2023Sociedad3 - 1Athletic Club
20 Feb 2022Athletic Club4 - 0Sociedad
31 Oct 2021Sociedad1 - 1Athletic Club
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away2.5539.2%02 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.2530.8%02 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.4540.8%02 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.7756.5%02 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.9052.6%02 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 17:04 UTC