| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 55.6% | 53% | +2.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 49.3% | 50.7% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 56.7% | 43.1% |
| logistic | 53.4% | 46.6% |
| Johannus Monday | Georgii Kravchenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1614 | 1581 |
| Surface Elo | 1614 | 1581 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.67 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 0.89 |
| Rest days | 11 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 28 Oct | A | Maximilian Marterer | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Oct | A | Massard, L | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Aug | H | Michele Ribecai | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | H | Lui Maxted | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Aug | A | Iliyan Radulov | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Sumit Nagal | 0 - 1 | L |
| 01 Nov | A | Daniel Masur | 2 - 0 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | Garrett Johns | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Oct | A | Aleksandr Braynin | 2 - 1 | W |
| 29 Oct | A | Nino Ehrenschneider | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.71 | 58.5% | 09 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.05 | 48.8% | 09 Nov 06:15 |