| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 47.2% | 29% | +17.9% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 75.0% | 76% | -0.6% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 60.7% | 39% | +21.2% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.7% | 58% | +1.3% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 58.1% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 26.0% | 27.6% | 46.4% |
| xgboost | 33.4% | 28.7% | 37.9% |
| logistic | 33.3% | 26.1% | 40.7% |
| Betis | Porto | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1763 | 1880 |
| Surface Elo | 1763 | 1880 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 3 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 11 Oct | H | Osasuna | 5 - 2 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Osasuna | 5 - 2 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | CD Egabrense | 3 - 2 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | La Coruna | 1 - 1 | D |
| 20 Sep | A | RC Deportivo de A Coruna | 1 - 1 | D |
| 10 Oct | A | Maritimo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Maritimo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Leixoes SC | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Oct | A | RC Deportivo de A Coruna | 3 - 1 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | Benfica | 3 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.42 | 29.2% | 14 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.80 | 26.3% | 14 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.16 | 46.3% | 14 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.71 | 58.5% | 14 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.20 | 45.5% | 14 Oct 06:15 |