OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🏈 NFL on 2026-10-18
NFL · Sunday 18 October 2026, 17:00 UTC · finished
New England Patriots – 26 - 19 – New York Jets
NFL forecast: home/away probabilities are conditional on no tie. Full-game moneylines include overtime; ties refund. Pick publication is disabled pending validation.
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 79.7%78%+2.2%✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
ensemble79.7%20.3%
Inputs the models saw
New England PatriotsNew York Jets
playoff0.00
elo diff0.38
form diff0.38
rest diff0.00
home field1.00
point diff0.89
opponent strength diff0.17
Information cutoff (UTC)2026-10-17T17:00:00+00:00
New England Patriots: last 5
11 OctHLas Vegas Raiders45 - 17W
04 OctABuffalo Bills29 - 26W
27 SepAJacksonville Jaguars6 - 35L
20 SepHPittsburgh Steelers20 - 3W
10 SepASeattle Seahawks10 - 13L
New York Jets: last 5
11 OctHCleveland Browns17 - 12W
04 OctAChicago Bears12 - 23L
27 SepADetroit Lions24 - 31L
20 SepHGreen Bay Packers17 - 20L
13 SepATennessee Titans23 - 10W
Head to head
28 Dec 2025New York Jets10 - 42New England Patriots
14 Nov 2025New England Patriots27 - 14New York Jets
27 Oct 2024New England Patriots25 - 22New York Jets
20 Sep 2024New York Jets24 - 3New England Patriots
07 Jan 2024New England Patriots3 - 17New York Jets
24 Sep 2023New York Jets10 - 15New England Patriots
20 Nov 2022New England Patriots10 - 3New York Jets
30 Oct 2022New York Jets17 - 22New England Patriots
24 Oct 2021New England Patriots54 - 13New York Jets
19 Sep 2021New York Jets6 - 25New England Patriots
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Pinnacle sharp1X2home1.2977.5%18 Oct 16:20
Pinnacle sharp1X2away3.9225.5%18 Oct 16:20
Generated 2026-10-30 18:15 UTC