| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 68.5% | 73% | -4.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 35.1% | 64.9% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 28.5% | 71.4% |
| logistic | 37.6% | 62.4% |
| Remy Bertola | Jesper De Jong | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1594 | 1740 |
| Surface Elo | 1594 | 1740 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 21 | 19 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 21 Sep | A | Jesper De Jong | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Sep | A | Edas Butvilas | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Sep | A | Jerome Kym | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Jul | A | Jacob Fearnley | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Jul | H | Spencer Johnson | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Harold Mayot | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Andrea Guerrieri | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Remy Bertola | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Sep | H | Zizou Bergs | 1 - 3 | L |
| 02 Sep | A | Francesco Passaro | 3 - 2 | W |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Jesper De Jong | 2 - 0 | Remy Bertola |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.40 | 71.4% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.80 | 35.7% | 22 Sep 06:15 |