| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 66.5% | 65% | +1.5% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 58.7% | 41.3% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 70.7% | 29.3% |
| logistic | 59.2% | 40.8% |
| Guido Ivan Justo | Juan Manuel La Serna | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1712 | 1605 |
| Surface Elo | 1712 | 1605 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.33 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.44 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.67 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 8 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | H | Juan Manuel La Serna | 0 - 1 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Arklon Huertas Del Pino Cordova | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Oct | A | Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva | 0 - 1 | L |
| 06 Oct | H | Francisco Comesana | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva | 0 - 1 | L |
| 13 Oct | A | Hernan Casanova | 1 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Hugo Dellien | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Franco Roncadelli | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Guido Ivan Justo | 1 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Hernan Casanova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Guido Ivan Justo | 0 - 1 | Juan Manuel La Serna |
| 06 Apr 2026 | Guido Ivan Justo | 2 - 0 | Juan Manuel La Serna |
| 30 Mar 2026 | Guido Ivan Justo | 1 - 2 | Juan Manuel La Serna |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.35 | 42.5% | 15 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.54 | 64.9% | 15 Oct 06:15 |