| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 53.1% | 55% | -1.6% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 52.9% | 47.0% |
| logistic | 50.9% | 49.1% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Jack Anthrop | Theo Papamalamis | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1534 | 1529 |
| Surface Elo | 1534 | 1529 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 2.63 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.75 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.50 | 0.38 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 17 Oct | H | Eli Stephenson | 2 - 1 | W |
| 16 Oct | A | Pepijn Bastiaansen | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Sep | A | Antoine Ghibaudo | 1 - 2 | L |
| 16 Sep | A | Abedallah Shelbayh | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Sep | H | Murphy Cassone | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Slavic, N | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Oct | H | Johan Oscar Lien | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | H | Hoyoung Roh | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Matei Cristian Onofrei | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct | H | Dominick Mosejczuk | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.87 | 53.5% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.83 | 54.6% | 18 Oct 06:15 |