| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 60.1% | 83% | -23.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 37.3% | 62.7% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 51.0% | 49.0% |
| logistic | 32.6% | 67.4% |
| Daniel Rincon | Titouan Droguet | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1635 | 1840 |
| Surface Elo | 1635 | 1840 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 10 | 10 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 16 Sep | A | Hamish Stewart | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Titouan Droguet | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Hamish Stewart | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Sep | H | Ugo Blanchet | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | H | Manas Dhamne | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Sep | A | Michele Ribecai | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Borna Gojo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Daniel Rincon | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Michele Ribecai | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep 2026 | Daniel Rincon | 1 - 2 | Titouan Droguet |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.20 | 83.3% | 17 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 4.30 | 23.3% | 17 Sep 06:15 |