| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 53.6% | 43% | +11.1% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 55.3% | 44.7% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 49.4% | 50.5% |
| logistic | 51.1% | 48.9% |
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | Bu Yunchaokete | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1836 | 1823 |
| Surface Elo | 1836 | 1823 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 4 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 30 Sep | H | Yunchaokete Bu | 1 - 2 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Sep | A | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | H | Yi Zhou | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Sep | H | Yi Zhou | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Sep | A | Roman Safiullin | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Kamil Majchrzak | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Sep | H | Michael Zheng | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Nov | H | Jurij Rodionov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 Nov | H | Elias Ymer | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.62 | 61.7% | 29 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.35 | 42.5% | 29 Sep 06:15 |