| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 79.5% | 77% | +2.5% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 77.5% | 22.5% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 84.1% | 15.8% |
| logistic | 68.9% | 31.1% |
| Anastasia Potapova | Sinja Kraus | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1732 | 1448 |
| Surface Elo | 1732 | 1448 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 33 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 30 Sep | H | Sinja Kraus | 0 - 1 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | Mirra Andreeva | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | Amanda Anisimova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | Leolia Jeanjean | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | Darja Semenistaja | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Maya Joint | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Nikola Bartunkova | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Dayana Yastremska | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Anastasia Potapova | 1 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Maya Joint | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep 2026 | Anastasia Potapova | 0 - 1 | Sinja Kraus |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.65 | 27.4% | 01 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.30 | 76.9% | 01 Oct 06:15 |