| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 64.3% | 75% | -10.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 57.5% | 42.5% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 60.3% | 39.7% |
| logistic | 67.1% | 32.9% |
| Lloyd Harris | Alexis Galarneau | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1779 | 1621 |
| Surface Elo | 1779 | 1621 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 2 | 14 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 29 Sep | H | Mattia Bellucci | 2 - 1 | W |
| 29 Sep | A | Alex Bolt | 2 - 1 | W |
| 29 Sep | A | Andre Ilagan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Sep | H | Luka Pavlovic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Sep | A | Alexis Galarneau | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Sep | H | Lloyd Harris | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Sep | A | Fajing Sun | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Fajing Sun | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | H | Pavel Kotov | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | H | Linang Xiao | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Sep 2026 | Alexis Galarneau | 0 - 2 | Lloyd Harris |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.05 | 32.8% | 29 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.35 | 74.1% | 29 Sep 06:15 |