OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-09-28
🎾 ATP Challenger Porto 2, Portugal Men Singles · Monday 28 September 2026, 10:00 UTC · finished
Dino Prizmic 1.80 2 - 0 1.20 Daniel Rincon
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 79.0%87%-7.9%✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov70.1%29.9%
poisson37.0%35.3%
xgboost89.1%10.9%
logistic70.0%30.0%
Inputs the models saw
Dino PrizmicDaniel Rincon
Elo (pre-match)18281635
Surface Elo18281635
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.801.20
Form trend0.000.60
Season points per game2.251.00
Season goals for / game1.501.00
Season goals against / game0.501.67
Rest days16
Head-to-head (last 10)1 W0 W · 0 D
Dino Prizmic: last 5
26 SepATitouan Droguet1 - 2L
25 SepHDaniil Glinka1 - 0W
23 SepHDavid Jorda Sanchis2 - 0W
22 SepHDaniel Rincon2 - 0W
21 SepHTitouan Droguet1 - 2L
Daniel Rincon: last 5
28 SepHDavid Jorda Sanchis0 - 2L
28 SepHLaslo Djere2 - 0W
28 SepHFausto Tabacco2 - 0W
22 SepADino Prizmic0 - 2L
21 SepHDino Prizmic0 - 2L
Head to head
22 Sep 2026Dino Prizmic2 - 0Daniel Rincon
21 Sep 2026Daniel Rincon0 - 2Dino Prizmic
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away4.9520.2%28 Sep 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.1587.0%28 Sep 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 23:27 UTC