| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 46.9% | 47% | -0.2% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 73.9% | 77% | -2.9% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 59.5% | 65% | -5.6% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.6% | 54% | +0.3% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 54.9% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 32.5% | 29.0% | 38.5% |
| xgboost | 38.2% | 32.7% | 29.1% |
| logistic | 37.0% | 27.2% | 35.9% |
| Nantes | Reims | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1473 | 1556 |
| Surface Elo | 1473 | 1556 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| Form trend | -0.50 | 0.40 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 21 | 21 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 7 W · 1 D |
| 19 Sep | A | Boulogne | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Boulogne | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | Sochaux | 0 - 1 | L |
| 07 Sep | H | Nancy | 1 - 0 | W |
| 29 Aug | A | Guingamp | 3 - 3 | D |
| 18 Sep | H | Montpellier | 1 - 1 | D |
| 11 Sep | A | Nancy | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Sep | H | Guingamp | 2 - 2 | D |
| 29 Aug | A | Red Star | 4 - 1 | W |
| 24 Aug | H | Annecy | 3 - 1 | W |
| 02 Feb 2025 | Reims | 1 - 2 | Nantes |
| 15 Sep 2024 | Nantes | 1 - 2 | Reims |
| 28 Jan 2024 | Reims | 0 - 0 | Nantes |
| 05 Nov 2023 | Nantes | 0 - 1 | Reims |
| 02 Apr 2023 | Nantes | 0 - 3 | Reims |
| 06 Nov 2022 | Reims | 1 - 0 | Nantes |
| 13 Feb 2022 | Nantes | 1 - 0 | Reims |
| 26 Sep 2021 | Reims | 3 - 1 | Nantes |
| 03 Mar 2021 | Nantes | 1 - 2 | Reims |
| 16 Dec 2020 | Reims | 3 - 2 | Nantes |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.33 | 30.0% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.40 | 29.4% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.15 | 46.5% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.84 | 54.4% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.90 | 52.6% | 09 Oct 06:15 |