| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 62.9% | 62% | +0.4% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 41.6% | 58.4% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 32.6% | 67.3% |
| logistic | 45.0% | 55.0% |
| Nicolas Zanellato | Joao Eduardo Schiessl | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1419 | 1450 |
| Surface Elo | 1419 | 1450 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 24 Sep | H | Ryan Augusto Dos Santos | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Sep | H | Breno Braga | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Jun | A | Nicolas Kicker | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Jun | A | Maximo Zeitune | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 May | A | Nicolas Kicker | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | A | Giovanni Branchetti | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Sep | A | Eduardo Lage | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 May | A | Franco Roncadelli | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 May | H | Ryan Dickerson | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 May | A | Gustavo Albieri | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Nov 2022 | Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 1 - 2 | Nicolas Zanellato |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.60 | 62.5% | 25 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.20 | 45.5% | 25 Sep 06:15 |