| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 61.0% | 61% | -0.4% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 45.2% | 54.8% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 32.4% | 67.5% |
| logistic | 40.9% | 59.1% |
| Maximo Zeitune | Federico Iannaccone | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1389 | 1498 |
| Surface Elo | 1389 | 1498 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 14 | 21 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 07 Sep | H | Pedro Martinez | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | A | Alvaro Guillen Meza | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Jun | H | Nicolas Zanellato | 1 - 2 | L |
| 15 Jun | A | Conner Huertas Del Pino | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Jun | A | Arklon Huertas Del Pino Cordova | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Luka Mikrut | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Aug | H | Valerio Aboian | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Aug | H | Maxim Mrva | 2 - 0 | W |
| 31 Aug | H | Juan Estevez | 2 - 1 | W |
| 18 May | H | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.63 | 61.4% | 21 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.20 | 45.5% | 21 Sep 06:15 |